Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.17
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $29.17
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Polymarket Trader
joselar
0x2083abbe8d12198210cd95b5317b699dbc60d5bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.85
- Realized PnL
- $10.86
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $16.32
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $5
Y
Yes position
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $6.68
- Potential payout
- $7.55
- Potential profit
- $0.87
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $2.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.11
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 38% 12.5 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?Yes 32% 12.5 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes 19% 26.32 shares
- IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?Yes 53% 7.55 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 17.14 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 35% 17.14 shares