No position
Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.57K
- Potential profit
- $15.57K
- User PnL
- -$252.99
Polymarket Trader
0x20899E4007f9852e6ABEef405f638Ff3f30CaFc6-1769694391522
0x20899e4007f9852e6abeef405f638ff3f30cafc6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $73.5
- Realized PnL
- $13.21
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $22.84
- Potential payout
- $268.71
- Potential profit
- $245.87
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$28.16
No position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $47.48
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $119.18
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$2.52
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $37.94
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.49
- Potential profit
- $16.49
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.12
- Potential payout
- $11.76
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.88
No position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.53
- Potential profit
- $3.53
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.24
- Potential profit
- $3.24
- User PnL
- -$0.97
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.41
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes 38% 13.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 51% 14.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 70% 14.29 shares
- Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?Yes 30% 3.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 69% 67.76 shares
- Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?No 30% 3.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 70% 7.14 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 39.5% 19.21 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes 12.5% 40 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No 30% 166.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 46% 19.67 shares