Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $21.19
- Potential payout
- $26.48
- Potential profit
- $5.3
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $8.26
Polymarket Trader
0x208c...52ca
0x208c5412e85e85f4103cd10a6394149bdda952ca
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $30.16
- Realized PnL
- $89.1
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Conor McGregor position
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $8.11
- Potential profit
- $5.23
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Marta Kostyuk position
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine Paolini
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $5.04
- Potential payout
- $7.04
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $1.06
- Potential payout
- $5.3
- Potential profit
- $4.24
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Over position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 0.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.95
Under position
England vs. DR Congo: England 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
Over position
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.18
Over position
France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
Over position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.75
Under position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Sweden position
Spread: France (-3.5)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.02
Under position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
G2 Esports position
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
Under position
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 5.5
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.33
Tristan McCormick position
Bogota: Tristan McCormick vs Pedro Sakamoto
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $1.77
Argentina position
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Mexico position
Mexico vs. Nicaragua
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Canada position
Canada vs. Jamaica
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.71
Up position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
New Zealand position
New Zealand vs. Guam
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Just Players position
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Just Players (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group A
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
South Sudan position
South Sudan vs. Cape Verde
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.22
Senegal position
Senegal vs. Madagascar
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Cameroon position
Cameroon vs. Libya
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Dominican Republic position
Dominican Republic vs. Nicaragua
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Australia position
Australia vs. Guam
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor 36% 8.11 shares
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 8?Down 80% 3.87 shares
- Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Jasmine PaoliniMarta Kostyuk 70% 7.04 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsT1 71% 5.55 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 3 WinnerG2 Esports 60% 6.55 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports 99.9% 7.8 shares
- LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports 63% 7.81 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Down 49% 2.06 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Down 49% 2.18 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Down 49% 2.18 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Down 49% 2.18 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 8?Down 49% 2.18 shares