Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.01
- Potential profit
- $334.01
- User PnL
- -$57.22
Polymarket Trader
Ferni17
0x2091cc2af51fcd11cae6395def7e58cae61d9cd9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $166.47
- Realized PnL
- $102.09
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 8
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $166.47
- Potential payout
- $167.22
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- User PnL
- $66.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.94
- Potential profit
- $119.94
- User PnL
- -$66.89
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.94
- Potential profit
- $26.94
- User PnL
- -$14.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C or higher on April 11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.7
- Potential profit
- $25.7
- User PnL
- -$9.69
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.19
- Potential profit
- $16.19
- User PnL
- -$4.82
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.79
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.24
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 10°C on April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.73
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.73
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.62
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?Yes 59.8% 167.22 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 17?Yes 17.1% 334.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 10?Yes 54% 26.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 9?No 99.9% 14.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 9?No 94% 14.98 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 9?Yes 55.8% 119.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?Yes 99.9% 68.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 8?Yes 93% 68.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?Yes 9.2% 102.1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?Yes 49% 102.11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?Yes 99.9% 101.28 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?Yes 49.4% 101.29 shares