Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.94K
- Potential profit
- $59.94K
- User PnL
- -$19.98K
Polymarket Trader
0x20B47c4644597AAB4840b1C8435639e99812e8aa-1770760834192
0x20b47c4644597aab4840b1c8435639e99812e8aa
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $275.95K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.94K
- Potential profit
- $59.94K
- User PnL
- -$19.98K
Yes position
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.86K
- Potential profit
- $59.86K
- User PnL
- -$19.95K
Yes position
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.83K
- Potential profit
- $59.83K
- User PnL
- -$19.94K
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-29?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.53K
- Potential profit
- $45.53K
- User PnL
- -$15.18K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$909.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$909.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 11°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$909.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 3°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$909.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$909.09
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 6°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.88K
- Potential profit
- $9.88K
- User PnL
- -$897.78
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.98K
- Potential profit
- $8.98K
- User PnL
- -$4.49K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 2°C or below on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.81K
- Potential profit
- $8.81K
- User PnL
- -$800.87
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 12°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.75K
- Potential profit
- $8.75K
- User PnL
- -$795.58
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $7K
- User PnL
- -$636.36
Yes position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $677.62
- Potential profit
- $677.62
- User PnL
- -$329.86
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or higher on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.33K
Yes position
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.33K
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97K
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.97K
Yes position
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.93K
Yes position
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.92K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.06K
No position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.99K
No position
Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.99K
No position
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.98K
No position
Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.97K
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 4°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09K
No position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $2.87K
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44K
No position
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.23K
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $487.95
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $486.02
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $327.3
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.75
Yes position
Will a new MAI model be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $222.85
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 59,000 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 36% 3,745.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 50% 3,084.54 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 41% 2,227.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 44% 2,010.2 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 47.5% 1,231.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 51% 3,071.18 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 1,572.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 50% 3,509.53 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 1,458.78 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 2,200 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 48% 2,500 shares