Polymarket Trader

Dearblue

@NicholeHer28465

0x20d1719642a2ede7a1f64c488c62ebb109fcfe63

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $5.8K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.27K
Potential profit: $5.27K
User PnL: -$1.5K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$14.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$150.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.41K
Potential profit: $1.41K
User PnL: -$191.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 28 to March 30, 2026?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34K
Potential profit: $1.34K
User PnL: -$11.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $950.14
Potential profit: $950.14
User PnL: -$129.22

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $824.85
Potential profit: $824.85
User PnL: -$314.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $659.99
Potential profit: $659.99
User PnL: -$16.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $501.99
Potential profit: $501.99
User PnL: -$39.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.99
Potential profit: $418.99
User PnL: -$97.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$40.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $369.98
Potential profit: $369.98
User PnL: -$37.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $340
Potential profit: $340
User PnL: -$36.82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $311.23
Potential profit: $311.23
User PnL: -$14.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$35.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$2.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $297.06
Potential profit: $297.06
User PnL: -$111.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $293.01
Potential profit: $293.01
User PnL: -$87.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255
Potential profit: $255
User PnL: -$114.54

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $248
Potential profit: $248
User PnL: -$103.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $164
Potential profit: $164
User PnL: -$19.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $135.03
Potential profit: $135.03
User PnL: -$17.55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?

Ends Oct 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.27K

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 24 to January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $586.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $562.94

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $506.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 21 to October 28, 2025?

Ends Oct 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?

Ends Nov 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?

Ends Dec 5, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.21

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?

Ends Nov 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $65.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?

Ends Nov 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?

Ends Oct 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.95

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.07

Yes position

Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.28

Yes position

XRP all time high by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Bad Bunny say "Doja" or "Cat" 2+ times during SNL appearance on October 4?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.04

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 40% 60 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 40% 190 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 81% 376.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 11.8% 5,923.17 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 17.9% 1,423.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 75% 176.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 13,831.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 84.5% 699.99 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 20 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 31.9% 45 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 63.1% 100 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Yes 70% 100 shares