Yes position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $265.67
- Potential payout
- $1.44K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$81.54
Polymarket Trader
Mine-Carrying-Dolphin
0x20d919b88e1cede2093f6a9cfc94734c2ad95490
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.05K
- Realized PnL
- $82.72K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.11K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $169.55
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1K
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $273.93
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $409.24
- Potential payout
- $409.24
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40.92
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $60.05
- Potential payout
- $222.41
- Potential profit
- $162.36
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$10.17
Y
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $201
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $18.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.89K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.44K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.44K
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.51K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.98K
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Yes position
James Comey arrested by April 29?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6K
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.17K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $964.05
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $956.68
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $898.6
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $875.85
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $831.19
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $809.49
Yes position
Trump weaponization fund blocked by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $806.84
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $778.15
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $735.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes 82.1% 363.85 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27?Yes 74.8% 406 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31?Yes 91% 201 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Yes 90% 409.24 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?Yes 86% 745.62 shares
- Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Yes 58% 1,930.54 shares
- Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?Yes 20% 436.03 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes 41.6% 906.26 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 23.8% 2,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.8% 9.62 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 7.74 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No 99.4% 50,000 shares