No position
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.6%
- Current value
- $96.93
- Potential payout
- $117.42
- Potential profit
- $20.49
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $0.93
Polymarket Trader
0x20Db00c274584D8e7Ae738Af030A5E534B05945d-1780932578098
0x20db00c274584d8e7ae738af030a5e534b05945d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $168.97
- Realized PnL
- $1.05
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.35
- Potential profit
- $115.35
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Current value
- $5.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $94.05
- Multiplier
- 16.81x
- User PnL
- -$4.05
Yes position
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
Ends Oct 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $45.56
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $9.06
- Potential payout
- $34.83
- Potential profit
- $25.77
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $10.09
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $7.46
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Current value
- $8.24
- Potential payout
- $13.76
- Potential profit
- $5.52
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.76
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $10.48
- Potential payout
- $11.04
- Potential profit
- $0.56
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $10.97
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.97
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $7.25
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?No 57% 17.54 shares
- Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 18% 55.56 shares
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 79.7% 7.53 shares
- Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No 81.9% 109.89 shares
- Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?Yes 28.7% 34.83 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes 2.6% 115.35 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 68% 7.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.6% 20.34 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 90.6% 11.04 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 72.7% 13.76 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 20.79 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 98.3% 20.35 shares