No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 93.4%
- Current value
- $97.9
- Potential payout
- $104.82
- Potential profit
- $6.92
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$2.1
Polymarket Trader
SMOLBRAIN
0x20db37d16aaad47d95bd1900fd2e454ef0a48b67
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $319.2
- Realized PnL
- -$68.82
- Win rate
- 70.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Discord IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 51.3%
- Current value
- $51.3
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $48.7
- Multiplier
- 1.95x
- User PnL
- -$41.7
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $100
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.4
Yes position
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Yes position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.8
No position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
US government shutdown in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Yes position
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Yes position
Ranger FDV above $15M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.5
No position
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will Loopscale launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Yes position
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will GMGN launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.6
No position
US government shutdown by October 1?
Ends Oct 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$38.21
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40.4
No position
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes 95.2% 11.32 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?No 87% 100 shares
- Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?Yes 96.5% 51.81 shares
- Will Trump visit China by April 30?No 97.4% 51.33 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.4% 104.82 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No 97.3% 20.55 shares
- Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes 55.6% 100 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?No 88% 113.64 shares
- Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?Yes 98% 100 shares
- US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No 92% 108.7 shares
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 76.3% 205.48 shares
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?No 5% 100 shares