Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $7.8
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.19K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.6
Polymarket Trader
adhgk
0x20df0b19c49ad0e5707a993d2f75f36e6d989767
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $199.35
- Realized PnL
- $204.92
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $4
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $662.67
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $575
- Potential profit
- $575
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3%
- Current value
- $16.22
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $533.78
- Multiplier
- 33.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.38
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $3.03
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $546.98
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.28
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.6%
- Current value
- $168.3
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $381.7
- Multiplier
- 3.27x
- User PnL
- $166.1
No position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.14
- Potential profit
- $333.14
- User PnL
- -$315.77
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $300
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $298.94
- Potential profit
- $298.94
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $109.61
- Potential profit
- $109.61
- User PnL
- -$108.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $93.02
- Potential profit
- $93.02
- User PnL
- -$2.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.2
- Potential profit
- $54.2
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.18
- Potential profit
- $37.18
- User PnL
- -$9.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.65
- Potential profit
- $33.65
- User PnL
- -$2.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.27
- Potential profit
- $29.27
- User PnL
- -$4.98
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.99
- Potential profit
- $24.99
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.56
- Potential profit
- $22.56
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.5
- Potential profit
- $21.5
- User PnL
- -$2.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.66
- Potential profit
- $20.66
- User PnL
- -$4.96
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.63
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.36
- Potential profit
- $18.36
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.33
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.67
N
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.53
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
US strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.81
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.74
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.23
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
No position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.95
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.41
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETDown 34% 14.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?Yes 99.1% 124.06 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETDown 30% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ETDown 37% 13.51 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?Yes 0.6% 550 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETUp 6% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETDown 66% 7.58 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETDown 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp 35.1% 11.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETDown 7% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETDown 25% 20 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ETDown 62% 8.06 shares