Polymarket Trader

totododo

0x20e4e754ea7e204a870d06cb717d00e981dc96a6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $2.59K
Realized PnL: -$235.99
Win rate: 72.7%
Open positions: 2
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $1.47K
Potential payout: $1.58K
Potential profit: $102.47
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $274.01

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.15K
Potential profit: $37.36
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $112.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.42

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $41.47

No position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

No position

US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.62

No position

US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.99

No position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.36

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

No position

Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.49

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.69

No position

US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.17

No position

US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.16

No position

US forces enter Iran by February 28?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.79

Yes position

Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

China position

AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$200

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 90% 648.81 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 51.78 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 83% 240.96 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 83% 120.48 shares
US forces enter Iran by February 28?

No 97.3% 102.79 shares
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

No 96% 104.17 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 82% 121.95 shares
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 97.3% 102.77 shares
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

No 81% 123.46 shares
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?

No 97.4% 112.35 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET

Down 53% 37.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Up 56% 35.17 shares