Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $108
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$37.99
Polymarket Trader
testing-the-waters
0x20f1e950d60350d20a2b9fbd9c2138e2ec7a7a6a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $218.2
- Realized PnL
- $3.89
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $48.49
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $2.38K
- Multiplier
- 50.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.51
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $20.23
- Potential payout
- $2.38K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $3.57
Yes position
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $21.87
- Potential payout
- $2.08K
- Potential profit
- $2.06K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $5.21
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $257.73
- Potential profit
- $246.68
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$13.94
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 300M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $155.56
- Potential profit
- $147
- Multiplier
- 18.18x
- User PnL
- -$11.44
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 325M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $152.65
- Potential profit
- $152.65
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.4
- Potential profit
- $12.4
- User PnL
- -$7.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of March 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 9% 55.56 shares
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No 85% 5.9 shares
- Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No 26% 7.5 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?No 83% 8 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?No 99.8% 12.91 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?No 99.7% 15.79 shares
- Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 2,380 shares
- Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by May 1?No 98.3% 5.9 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 58% 60.53 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.9% 5.21 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99% 5.53 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 99.8% 9.69 shares