No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $186.32
- Potential payout
- $272
- Potential profit
- $85.68
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- $34
Polymarket Trader
AmyStephens4649
0x2103bbb5f9fba62d88eb039ab0d4a981b194e296
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $186.32
- Realized PnL
- $4.08K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2K
San Diego Toreros position
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Waves
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $562.48
Michigan State Spartans position
Michigan State Spartans vs. Temple Owls
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $380
Over position
Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344
No position
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $289.73
Yes position
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.87
Yes position
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Multiplier
- 19.61x
- User PnL
- $143.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.4
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.85
No position
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?
Ends Dec 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.56
Yes position
Will SpaceX raise between $80B and $90B in its IPO?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $114.12
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.44
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.85
No position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $72.96
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $43.11
Yes position
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.03
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $37.76
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 1 be between 2,400,000 and 2,600,000?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.74
Yes position
Will Trump say "Dark cloud" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.96
No position
Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.2
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.45
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.83
Yes position
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.29
Yes position
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?No 33% 1,069 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No 56% 272 shares
- Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?No 54.8% 641 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 15% 36 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 15% 394 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 46.5% 785 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 49.8% 785 shares
- Will New England Revolution win on 2026-03-07?No 80% 1,069 shares
- Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?No 15% 430 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 87% 146 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 87% 805 shares
- Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?No 87% 951 shares