No position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.3K
- Potential profit
- $2.3K
- User PnL
- -$60
Polymarket Trader
CHAOBIYANGMAO
0x210e2ce2c8dc15976932a8c99fb15973aabff469
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.07
- Realized PnL
- -$205.83
- Win rate
- 35.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $25.79
- Potential payout
- $515.8
- Potential profit
- $490.01
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$86.21
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500.22
- Potential profit
- $500.22
- User PnL
- -$16.4
Yes position
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $244
- Potential profit
- $244
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $60.62
- Potential payout
- $212.77
- Potential profit
- $152.15
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$39.38
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $28.67
- Potential payout
- $190.48
- Potential profit
- $161.81
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- $8.67
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129.03
- Potential profit
- $129.03
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.38
- Potential profit
- $115.38
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $69.57
- Potential profit
- $69.57
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.37
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.63
Yes position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.43
No position
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.58
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.32
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.85
Yes position
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.77
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.77
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$22.2
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$33.95
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$163.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17?Yes 8% 62.5 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.5% 190.48 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes 0.3% 76.92 shares
- Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16?Yes 13% 76.92 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.3% 350 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes 47% 212.77 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?Yes 2.4% 166.67 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 97% 148.83 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 2.5% 44 shares
- Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?Yes 13% 115.38 shares
- Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?Yes 6.2% 129.03 shares
- Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?Yes 2.5% 200 shares