Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $3.1K
- Potential profit
- $356.9
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $46.55
Polymarket Trader
erzhuron
0x2117912fee43e703fe9626fc934ad8653cf39bed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.79K
- Realized PnL
- $4.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Ninjas in Pyjamas position
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $676.08
- Potential profit
- $676.08
- User PnL
- -$520.58
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$26
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.98
- Potential profit
- $99.98
- User PnL
- -$30.99
Weibo Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.85
- Potential profit
- $98.85
- User PnL
- -$65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $98.84
- Potential profit
- $98.84
- User PnL
- -$44.48
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 5?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$23
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.33
- Potential profit
- $46.33
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.97
- Potential profit
- $45.97
- User PnL
- -$13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $42.32
- Potential payout
- $42.34
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $12.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.27
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $809.24
LGD Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $539.4
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.91
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $242.84
Yes position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $214.36
Bilibili Gaming position
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.01
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200.48
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.45
Yes position
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.61
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.29
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.75
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.66
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.68
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.71
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.49
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 29?
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.33
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.87
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.47
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.5
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.77
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 2?
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $58.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?No 70.1% 7.34 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?No 70.1% 35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?Yes 29.9% 49.46 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 20?Yes 31.3% 49.46 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 99.3% 303.16 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 80.5% 303.17 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 18?Yes 38% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 18?Yes 28.3% 45.97 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?Yes 7% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 17?Yes 42.6% 49.32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?Yes 30% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 16?Yes 37.1% 51.26 shares