Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $187.09
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Polymarket Trader
Catatau1001
0x212ba2caacd7dac2827b380284fc6a4a0b9d9671
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $419.85
- Realized PnL
- $149.15
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$8.1
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $97.87
- Potential payout
- $103.57
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $21.3
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.1%
- Current value
- $35.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $64.95
- Multiplier
- 2.85x
- User PnL
- $21.55
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.2%
- Current value
- $38.2
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $61.8
- Multiplier
- 2.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $93.95
- Multiplier
- 16.53x
- User PnL
- -$1.85
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $62.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $34.3
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $35.7
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$10.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $41.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $8.25
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Ends Oct 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $6
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $26.56
- Potential payout
- $43.9
- Potential profit
- $17.34
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $1.36
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $12.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $8.27
- Potential payout
- $8.5
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.2
Yes position
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.58x
- User PnL
- $25.28
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.9
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.8
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $3.32
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.7
Yes position
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Joao Fonseca position
BNP Paribas Open: Joao Fonseca vs Jannik Sinner
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Sebastian Korda position
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Korda
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.47
Yes position
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.68
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Multiplier
- 40.82x
- User PnL
- -$1.9
Andrey Rublev position
Barcelona Open: Andrey Rublev vs Arthur Fils
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 13 2026?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.1% 150 shares
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 3.8% 300 shares
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?No 97.4% 26 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 38.4% 100 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 2.6% 100 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 7.9% 100 shares
- Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 1.2% 100 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 11% 49.99 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Yes 21% 40 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 72.6% 50 shares
- Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?No 64% 70 shares
- Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No 97% 50 shares