No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Current value
- $94.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $6.8
Polymarket Trader
Afcm
0x2139b89edf1db56d79e2eb4d3081e017eaba00f3
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $140.3
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $81.97
- Potential profit
- $80.94
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$48.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.46
- Potential profit
- $68.46
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $23.76
- Potential payout
- $41.31
- Potential profit
- $17.56
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$6.24
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 68%
- Current value
- $18.13
- Potential payout
- $26.67
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- Multiplier
- 1.47x
- User PnL
- -$1.87
Yes position
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.86
- Potential profit
- $25.86
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.9%
- Current value
- $2.59
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $7.42
- Multiplier
- 3.87x
- User PnL
- -$6.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?Yes 47.6% 63.04 shares
- Spain snap election called in 2026?No 72.6% 41.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 97.2% 149.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 97.4% 178.57 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 74.2% 149.68 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 21.9% 68.46 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 73% 68.49 shares
- Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?Yes 58% 25.86 shares
- Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No 99.8% 119.04 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes 61% 81.97 shares
- Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No 94% 22.38 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 56% 178.57 shares