BelenceTread

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$34.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $349.83
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$174.83

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $14.88
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $335.13
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$20.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $106.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $243.25
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $71.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $348.25
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$33.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $7.49
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $342.51
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$27.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 60.5%
Current value: $211.75
Potential payout: $350
Potential profit: $138.25
Multiplier: 1.65x
User PnL: $176.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $28.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $221.25
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: $19.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $16.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $233.75
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: $6.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $81.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $168.75
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $71.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $111.25
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $138.75
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $101.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $3.31
Potential payout: $169.7
Potential profit: $166.39
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$1.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.11

No position

Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.38

No position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.31

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.17

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.92

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.48

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.87

No position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.46

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.81

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.72

No position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.91

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.32

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.09

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.32

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Implied probability: 36.1%
Multiplier: 2.77x
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.32

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?