Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Roadto200
0x213d2684766a6136fcb9442ea7a23856256738e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $28.3
- Realized PnL
- $452.03
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $375
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 23?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.25
- Potential profit
- $206.25
- User PnL
- -$2.92
No position
Will no US x Venezuela military engagement occur in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $144.33
- Potential profit
- $144.33
- User PnL
- -$17.21
Yes position
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $111.11
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 22?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.62
- Potential profit
- $80.62
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $76.92
- Potential profit
- $74.04
- Multiplier
- 26.67x
- User PnL
- -$7.12
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75.83
- Potential profit
- $75.83
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.67
- Potential profit
- $66.67
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Time announce Person of the Year on December 11?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.15
No position
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Score
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48
- Potential profit
- $48
- User PnL
- -$20.16
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $25.42
- Potential payout
- $40.67
- Potential profit
- $15.25
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 10?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?
Ends Dec 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 9-15?
Ends Dec 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.13
- Potential profit
- $15.13
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 4PM ET
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Santa deliver fewer than 7,900,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,000,000,000 and 8,100,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 8,100,000,000 and 8,200,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Santa deliver between 7,900,000,000 and 8,000,000,000 gifts for Christmas 2025?
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.38
No position
Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.36
No position
Will Zootopia 2 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.12
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.98
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.22
No position
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.79
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.09
Yes position
Will "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be greater than 157m?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Yes position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 12PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Down position
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 7PM ET
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.67
Yes position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.89
B8 position
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN - Map 1 Winner
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 7AM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 12, 9AM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8AM ET
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.49
Capitals position
Kings vs. Capitals
Ends Nov 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.38
FC Bayern München position
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Up position
Solana Up or Down - November 12, 8AM ET
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: December
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.79
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.36
Over position
Red Wings vs. Flames: O/U 6.5
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown 50% 1.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown 62% 1.57 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 45% 5 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes 48% 45.67 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No 67% 32.72 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes 89.2% 178.35 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes 96.8% 164.39 shares
- Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?No 71% 15.77 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes 79.9% 12.52 shares
- US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes 0.3% 3,333.33 shares
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes 99.7% 137.13 shares
- Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 6–10 seconds?Yes 99.8% 137.13 shares