No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.35K
- Potential profit
- $65.4
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $123.39
Polymarket Trader
oaisjdoiajsd
0x214079f248367c7ba5f046c911c9bb9e33c2da14
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $170.45
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $342.51
- Potential payout
- $358.09
- Potential profit
- $15.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $90.51
No position
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.53
- Potential profit
- $200.53
- User PnL
- -$7.62
Yes position
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.78
- Potential profit
- $134.78
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $126.98
- Potential profit
- $126.98
- User PnL
- -$16
Yes position
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.14
- Potential profit
- $124.14
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $123.49
- Potential profit
- $123.49
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Netanyahu out by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $90.91
- Potential profit
- $88.96
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65.22
- Potential profit
- $65.22
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.97
- Potential profit
- $30.97
- User PnL
- -$12.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $136.11
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.84
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by July 31?Yes 2.2% 90.91 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 23% 65.22 shares
- Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 3.8% 200.53 shares
- SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?No 72% 486.11 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares
- Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?No 40.4% 30.97 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No 91% 13.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 72% 212.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 161.23 shares
- Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?No 56% 22.09 shares
- Nothing Ever Happens: MaySomething 19.8% 30.66 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 68% 145.59 shares