Polymarket Trader

0x2142E247d307Bea9D271B62d90f4C434Bf366b8c-1782718313415

0x2142e247d307bea9d271b62d90f4c434bf366b8c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.92
Realized PnL: $13.55
Win rate: 83.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.14
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $24.89
Potential profit: $24.85
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $22.55
Potential profit: $21.78
Multiplier: 29.41x
User PnL: -$0.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $0.33
Potential payout: $12.24
Potential profit: $11.91
Multiplier: 37.04x
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $2.61
Potential payout: $7.14
Potential profit: $4.54
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $1.61

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $0.9
Potential payout: $6.45
Potential profit: $5.55
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5.88
Potential profit: $3.38
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: $1.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
User PnL: $13.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 1?

Yes 12% 6.45 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on July 1?

Yes 5.1% 22.55 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?

Yes 99% 14.28 shares
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 30?

Yes 4.7% 24.89 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?

Yes 2.1% 28.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?

Yes 17.4% 28.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 21% 27.77 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Down 18% 27.78 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET

Down 30% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Up 25% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Up 24% 20.83 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Up 60% 8.33 shares