Polymarket Trader

gdtmcynthia

0x214b4013f3443a5f7f1296b718ffe910235e9cb1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $33.84
Realized PnL: $23.69
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $8.62
Potential payout: $8.64
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.22

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.87
Potential profit: $7.87
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.61
Potential profit: $6.61
User PnL: -$5.79

No position

Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $6.11
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.13

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$5.1

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $4.08
Potential payout: $4.31
Potential profit: $0.24
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91%
Current value: $3.62
Potential payout: $3.98
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.16
Potential payout: $3.49
Potential profit: $0.33
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $2.96
Potential payout: $2.97
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $2.31
Potential payout: $2.45
Potential profit: $0.14
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.88

No position

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.68

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 6?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.33

No position

Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 94%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 2-8?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.27

No position

Will Solana dip to $70 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.25

No position

Will gas hit (High) $4.25 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Will Brazil join the Board of Peace?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.21

No position

US strike on Cuba by March 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.19

No position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.16

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?

No 99.3% 4.67 shares
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $320 Week of May 11 2026?

No 98.9% 4.29 shares
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

No 96.5% 5.18 shares
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 3.98 shares
Will Song Ki-sub win the 2026 Chungcheongbuk Province gubernatorial election?

No 99.3% 4.52 shares
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

No 97.4% 4.83 shares
Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?

Yes 89.4% 3.12 shares
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 97.5% 6.11 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 12?

Yes 98.7% 3.64 shares
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 5.24 shares
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?

No 91% 1.69 shares
GPT-5.5 released by June 30, 2026?

Yes 92.8% 2.26 shares