Sm1

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$1.29

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $3.61
Potential payout: $656.56
Potential profit: $652.94
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump deport 1,500,000-1,750,000 people?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $646.29
Potential profit: $646.29
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.7
Potential payout: $626.98
Potential profit: $622.28
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.3

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $557.35
Potential profit: $557.35
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $4.89
Potential payout: $514.65
Potential profit: $509.76
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$1.61

Yes position

Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $2.75

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $4.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $495.75
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $393.94
Potential profit: $393.94
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.19
Potential payout: $335.53
Potential profit: $332.34
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$2.81

Yes position

Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $333.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $316.12
Potential profit: $316.12
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $309.52
Potential profit: $306.58
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: $0.94

Yes position

Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.88

Yes position

Will A$AP Rocky release an album in 2025?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $248.38
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0.63

Yes position

Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $2.06
Potential payout: $242.86
Potential profit: $240.79
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.06

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $241.43
Potential profit: $241.43
User PnL: -$2.29

Yes position

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $16.43
Potential payout: $239.84
Potential profit: $223.41
Multiplier: 14.60x
User PnL: $10.43

Yes position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.61
Potential payout: $201.9
Potential profit: $201.29
Multiplier: 333.33x
User PnL: -$2.89

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $144.43

Yes position

Will the next Pope be from North America?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.83

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be 46.0% or higher on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.49

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: $66.08

Down position

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Ends May 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.5

Yes position

Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.99

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be less than 5%?

Ends Jun 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.97

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.38

No position

Will Keir Starmer say "NHS" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.5

Yes position

Will the Australian Labor Party win 85 or more seats?

Ends May 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.73

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be 45.0% or higher on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.97

Yes position

Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.36

Yes position

Will Han Duck-soo endorse PPP?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.92

Yes position

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.61

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 44.0% and 44.4% on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.86

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 45.0–45.4% on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.46

Yes position

Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.5–44.9% on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.6

Yes position

2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 215+

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $30.67

Yes position

Will Diddy be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.36

Yes position

Will Trump's approval rating be between 46.5% and 46.9% on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.25

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.86

Yes position

Will Kendrick Lamar be the #2 searched person on Google this year?