Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $47.94
- Potential payout
- $3.83K
- Potential profit
- $3.79K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$67.5
Polymarket Trader
0x216b...d9ec
0x216b5bad9be4a3d9f66178068d498e5c8042d9ec
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $333.33
- Realized PnL
- -$16.62
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $76.02
- Potential payout
- $980.93
- Potential profit
- $904.9
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$20.11
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.4%
- Current value
- $149.59
- Potential payout
- $773.1
- Potential profit
- $623.51
- Multiplier
- 5.17x
- User PnL
- $19.2
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $59.78
- Potential payout
- $431.61
- Potential profit
- $371.83
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- -$10.14
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.53
Yes position
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.21
No position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5.15
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.16
Yes position
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
Yes position
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14.92
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$18.08
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 16.2% 431.6 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 9.8% 980.92 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 0.9% 11,504.66 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 3.3% 3,223.23 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 17.4% 664.62 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 3.4% 684.31 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.2% 436.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 3.2% 3,500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 3.5% 5,833.43 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.2% 2,689.19 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?Yes 2.2% 3,411.48 shares
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 0.9% 9,044.45 shares