Yes position
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $6
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $44
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Polymarket Trader
uchiha.itachi
0x216ecd622dd0dd7afcaae24ed1710dec8ba59ac8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $36.11
- Realized PnL
- $272.93
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $5.11
- Potential payout
- $48.63
- Potential profit
- $43.53
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Current value
- $6.59
- Potential payout
- $34.7
- Potential profit
- $28.11
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10%
- Current value
- $3.09
- Potential payout
- $30.87
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.45
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $1.37
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Y
Yes position
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 115m?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $6.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.3
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $3.7
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $11.07
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$1.79
Yes position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $3.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $6.95
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $1.05
Y
Yes position
Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.6%
- Current value
- $0.66
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.35
- Multiplier
- 15.27x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.95
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Yes position
GTA VI released before November 2026?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.6%
- Current value
- $0.26
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.74
- Multiplier
- 38.46x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.98
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.68
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.91
No position
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 10%
- Multiplier
- 10.00x
- User PnL
- $20.52
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.7
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.56
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.02
Yes position
Will Timothee Chalamet (Marty Supreme) win Best Actor – Musical or Comedy at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.87
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6%
- Multiplier
- 16.67x
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.4
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.3
Yes position
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.69
Yes position
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
No position
Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $8.5
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.26
Yes position
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.23
Yes position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- $4.95
Something position
Nothing Ever Happens: April
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.75
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Will Jennifer Venditti (Marty Supreme) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15
Yes position
Will Frankenstein be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
Yes position
Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 WTA Korea Open?
Ends Sep 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No 7% 15 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 27% 50 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 19% 52.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 83% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 77% 40 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 59.2% 20 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 43% 10 shares
- Kanye blocked from entering another country by June 30?No 65% 5 shares
- Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes 94% 35 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 80% 50 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No 94.9% 20 shares