Polymarket Trader

T2302144

0x217b49241dfcef049f0d3dea184199fbaddc601a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $32.64
Realized PnL: $7.44
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 14
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will Trump's remarks not air?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.97
Potential profit: $114.97
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.57
Potential payout: $72.46
Potential profit: $69.9
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $67.57
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.38
Potential profit: $61.38
User PnL: -$37.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $6.84
Potential payout: $61.35
Potential profit: $54.51
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.59
Potential profit: $58.59
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.81
Potential profit: $32.81
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $7.13
Potential payout: $31.06
Potential profit: $23.93
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31
Potential profit: $31
User PnL: -$19.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $24.03
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 37.9%
Current value: $9.86
Potential payout: $26.04
Potential profit: $16.18
Multiplier: 2.64x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.41
Potential profit: $20.41
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.39
Potential profit: $16.39
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$10

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $12.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.94
Potential profit: $10.94
User PnL: -$3.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.8%
Multiplier: 4.82x
User PnL: $0.9

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Argentina to score first vs. Algeria?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.19

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.11

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 1.1% 412.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 18% 27.78 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 1.2% 412.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Yes 6.9% 72.46 shares
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 27% 144.48 shares
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?

Yes 3.5% 114.97 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.5% 14.7 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 15.2% 12.5 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 8.4% 9 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 4.5% 16.39 shares
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 61% 61.38 shares