No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $28.73
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $7.31
Polymarket Trader
0x218d...0067
0x218d6fc50d17fa61470777024a3143ffc06e0067
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $84.66
- Realized PnL
- -$0.59
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
AI bubble burst in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.8%
- Current value
- $15.96
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $4.04
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$6.56
Yes position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $8.95
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $4.65
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $4.81
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.1%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $0.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $0.96
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19%
- Multiplier
- 5.26x
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.1%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.22
No position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.21
No position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.9%
- Multiplier
- 6.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
No position
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.65
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 8 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 3.4% 30 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 19% 6 shares
- U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?No 90% 7 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 56.2% 9 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 43.9% 5 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 95.7% 6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 91.9% 8 shares
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?No 70% 6 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.6% 6 shares
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?No 88% 7 shares