Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
0x218e4bC2ce846B9822Ea1301843681F3bF84A979-1775393552999
0x218e4bc2ce846b9822ea1301843681f3bf84a979
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.16
- Realized PnL
- $668.88
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $26.16
- Potential payout
- $353.57
- Potential profit
- $327.41
- Multiplier
- 13.51x
- User PnL
- -$3.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.15
- Potential profit
- $121.15
- User PnL
- -$7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $62.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60.87
- Potential profit
- $60.87
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.45
- Potential profit
- $58.45
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $57.75
- Potential profit
- $57.75
- User PnL
- -$12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.36
- Potential profit
- $47.36
- User PnL
- -$9.19
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.13
- Potential profit
- $46.13
- User PnL
- -$20
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.44
- Potential profit
- $41.44
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.7
- Potential profit
- $34.7
- User PnL
- -$6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.48
- Potential profit
- $34.48
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.13
- Potential profit
- $34.13
- User PnL
- -$7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.56
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.03
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.62
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.23
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.51
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.48
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETUp 49% 2.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETUp 6% 16.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 5% 200 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETUp 14% 7.14 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 27% 3.7 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ETDown 43.6% 11.48 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETDown 6% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ETUp 34% 14.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETDown 31% 16.13 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10AM-5:15AM ETUp 42% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETDown 99% 2.7 shares