Polymarket Trader

PrimaryPartner

0x218f912f8d88cc6ec06a5f812231d68602c77ef2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $23.4K
Realized PnL: $145.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $739.85
Potential payout: $87.04K
Potential profit: $86.3K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$18.83K

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $32.41K
Potential profit: $32.41K
User PnL: -$2.01K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $22.62K
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $2.37K
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $3.4K

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.51K
Potential profit: $17.51K
User PnL: -$1.19K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$500

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$1.1K

Yes position

Will Ethena be accused of insider trading?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.93K
Potential profit: $1.93K
User PnL: -$57.82

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $962
Potential profit: $962
User PnL: -$137.24

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.9
Potential profit: $735.9
User PnL: -$309.08

No position

Will 80 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $600
User PnL: -$303.9

Yes position

Will Trump announce Chris Waller as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$65

Yes position

Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.99
Potential profit: $299.99
User PnL: -$37.5

No position

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $36.74
Potential payout: $45.08
Potential profit: $8.34
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $7.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.2K

Yes position

Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.56K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.48K

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $14.64K

No position

Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before June?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97K

No position

Was Trump hacked?

Ends Jan 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.83K

Yes position

Major cyberattack on Iran in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.58K

No position

Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.32K

Yes position

Elon out of Trump administration before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.3K

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.77K

Yes position

TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.62K

No position

Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.91K

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35K

Yes position

Will Kari Lake be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97K

No position

Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?

Ends Jul 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.84K

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.51K

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

No position

Was JFK assassination an inside job?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2K

No position

Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.1K

No position

Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.99K

No position

Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?

Ends Jun 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98K

Yes position

Will Trump say "Genius" this week?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96K

No position

Will Trump pardon SBF in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.82K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

No 99.9% 7,005.73 shares
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

No 75% 20,000.05 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 5% 3,162.08 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 9% 297.07 shares
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

Yes 6.8% 22,284.91 shares
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

No 65.7% 45.08 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

No 73.1% 8,493.31 shares
Trump out as President by March 31?

No 98.3% 247 shares
Will Trump visit China by March 31?

No 42.2% 4,282.33 shares
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Yes 96.9% 3,153.76 shares
Will OpenSea be accused of insider trading?

No 98.9% 1,230.31 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 79% 3,999.34 shares