Polymarket Trader

dafa7

@JessicaBec73974

0x219369fff5e894ed268204b65cb4c7cd17c90a22

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $41.4
Realized PnL: $25.82
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 12
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.38
Potential profit: $12.38
User PnL: -$12

No position

Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $10.88
Potential payout: $11.7
Potential profit: $0.82
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.7%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $10.92
Potential profit: $0.69
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: New World Record?

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $9.87
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $1.04
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.13

No position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $10.42
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.42

No position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.17
Potential profit: $8.17
User PnL: -$8

No position

Ethereum all time high before October?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$6

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.38
Potential profit: $6.38
User PnL: -$6

No position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.15
Potential profit: $6.15
User PnL: -$6

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.1
Potential profit: $6.1
User PnL: -$5

No position

Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $5.68
User PnL: -$5

No position

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.11
Potential profit: $4.11
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 2?

Ends Jul 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.66

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down on July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.98

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51

Yes position

Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.44

No position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by March 21?

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Trump invoke War Powers again by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Bondi, Bongino or Patel out by July 18th?

Ends Jul 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.95

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will Carlos Moedas be elected Mayor of Lisbon?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Another Israel strike on Yemen by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

No position

Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

No position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Iran strike Syria in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.77

No position

US strikes Yemen by August 31?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.75

No position

Will Russia enter Ternuvate again by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.74

No position

Bitcoin all time high by July 25?

Ends Jul 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?

No 89% 12.36 shares
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?

No 94% 11.7 shares
Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: New World Record?

No 91.7% 10.91 shares
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

No 94% 10.64 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 94.8% 10.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Yes 91.1% 10.98 shares
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 96.4% 10.37 shares
Will France advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 96.7% 10.34 shares
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 91.6% 10.92 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?

Yes 95% 14.74 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

No 95.5% 10.47 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

No 97.3% 10.28 shares