No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $343.11
- Potential payout
- $379.13
- Potential profit
- $36.02
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $43.6
Polymarket Trader
zeroi
@zeroibtc
0x2194ba875ef269b7bb17821aef0b86549ea2bec0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $382.74
- Realized PnL
- $609.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $217.39
- Potential profit
- $217.39
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$9.62
No position
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 90°F or higher on May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.13
- Potential profit
- $33.13
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $24.56
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $4.85
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.52
- Potential profit
- $23.52
- User PnL
- -$10.6
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $15.07
- Potential payout
- $17.13
- Potential profit
- $2.06
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.43
- Potential profit
- $9.43
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.51
- Potential profit
- $8.51
- User PnL
- -$3.32
No position
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.76
- Potential profit
- $4.76
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $127.54
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.3
No position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.62
No position
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.55
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $23.71
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
Ends Dec 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.24
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.91
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76
No position
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.72
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.64
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.62
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.72
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
No position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.51
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.94
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.55
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 79% 379.13 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 99.8% 299.99 shares
- Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?Yes 87.6% 17.13 shares
- Will Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?No 98.5% 17.26 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?No 92.7% 299.99 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 79% 296.37 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 98.2% 240.15 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 85% 29.41 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?No 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?No 53% 9.43 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 64% 7.81 shares