Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
DaddyCow
0x219f02f9a127ad6225db2e7e5175f3c937ae12d8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $686.55
- Realized PnL
- $286.12
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $219.08
- Potential profit
- $219.08
- User PnL
- -$158
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $207.92
- Potential profit
- $207.92
- User PnL
- -$190
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $108.79
- Potential payout
- $109.18
- Potential profit
- $0.38
- User PnL
- $8.79
No position
Will Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.85
- Potential profit
- $107.85
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $85.99
- Potential payout
- $86.29
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $5.99
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $76.41
- Potential payout
- $76.53
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- User PnL
- $6.41
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.7%
- Current value
- $72.44
- Potential payout
- $75.74
- Potential profit
- $3.29
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3.24
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $71.58
- Potential payout
- $72.19
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- User PnL
- $1.58
No position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.15
- Potential profit
- $62.15
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $40.32
- Potential payout
- $47.72
- Potential profit
- $7.4
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $10.32
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $40.38
- Potential payout
- $44.13
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.1
- Potential payout
- $44.05
- Potential profit
- $42.95
- Multiplier
- 40.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.9
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.3%
- Current value
- $40.92
- Potential payout
- $43.88
- Potential profit
- $2.96
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.92
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Current value
- $34.83
- Potential payout
- $42.02
- Potential profit
- $7.18
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $8.41
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.41
- Potential profit
- $39.41
- User PnL
- -$12.9
No position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.59
- Potential profit
- $36.59
- User PnL
- -$32
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $36.31
- Potential payout
- $36.33
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $19.64
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $16.07
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Yes position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $29.82
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
No position
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $6.13
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $18.88
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- -$3.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $21.88
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $3.13
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.66
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.19
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.29
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.12
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.03
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.9
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.36
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.42
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.22
No position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.24
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.64
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.36
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
Yes position
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.18
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.88
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.95
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.92
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.81
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.59
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.56
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 99.1% 10.09 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 45% 22.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 97.7% 10.24 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 81% 24.69 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 96.8% 10.33 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No 78% 12.82 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 95.4% 104.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No 99.8% 100.2 shares
- Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 10.19 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 80% 12.5 shares
- Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30?No 84% 11.9 shares