No position
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $386.1
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $93.91
Polymarket Trader
DFC
0x21a4a9d0910a3cf38cef1d4a1bae76cd468e0b9e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.86K
- Realized PnL
- $2.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.5%
- Current value
- $54.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $945.5
- Multiplier
- 18.35x
- User PnL
- -$45.5
Yes position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $48.76
- Potential payout
- $406.34
- Potential profit
- $357.58
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$151.24
No position
Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $348.21
- Potential payout
- $355.14
- Potential profit
- $6.93
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $60.71
No position
Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $311.46
- Potential payout
- $312.24
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- User PnL
- $61.46
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $265.22
- Potential payout
- $303.11
- Potential profit
- $37.89
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $22.11
No position
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $285.51
- Potential payout
- $286.51
- Potential profit
- $1
- User PnL
- $67.07
No position
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $271.93
- Potential profit
- $271.93
- User PnL
- -$120
No position
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $221.67
- Potential payout
- $256.27
- Potential profit
- $34.6
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $21.78
No position
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $221.44
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $0.78
- User PnL
- $21.44
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $191.67
- Potential payout
- $195.98
- Potential profit
- $4.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $25.67
No position
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $186.77
- Potential payout
- $189.42
- Potential profit
- $2.65
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $27.19
Yes position
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $181.82
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $152.47
- Potential payout
- $154.48
- Potential profit
- $2.01
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $52.47
Yes position
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.85
- Potential profit
- $153.85
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-13?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153.66
- Potential profit
- $153.66
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Current value
- $141
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $41
No position
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $119.4
- Potential payout
- $137.24
- Potential profit
- $17.84
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $19.4
No position
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $134.59
- Potential payout
- $136.29
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $17.19
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $113.82
- Potential payout
- $131.58
- Potential profit
- $17.76
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $13.82
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $128.64
- Potential payout
- $130.93
- Potential profit
- $2.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $28.64
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $109.56
- Potential payout
- $121.06
- Potential profit
- $11.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $10.29
No position
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $116.14
- Potential payout
- $117.85
- Potential profit
- $1.71
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $16.14
No position
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $113.65
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $4
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $13.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Bolsonaro guilty?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.85
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.45
No position
Bolsonaro arrested before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $135.96
No position
Will Trump issue a Gold Card before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.29
Yes position
Jair Bolsonaro in jail by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.35
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $90.76
Cavaliers position
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.19
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.77
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson be named StopAntisemitism's 2025 Antisemite of the Year?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.97
Under position
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.57
No position
Will Trump create External Revenue Service before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.06
Pelicans position
Clippers vs. Pelicans
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.02
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.79
No position
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.63
Yes position
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-06?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.64
No position
Will Carney government pass a confidence vote before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.64
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.8
No position
Another Houthi strike on Israel before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.03
No position
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.85
No position
Israel withdraws from Syria before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.46
No position
X and Truth Social merger announced before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.45
No position
Will Trump visit Russia before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.93
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.25
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?Yes 64% 78.13 shares
- Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?No 86.9% 20.01 shares
- Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?Yes 75.2% 199.37 shares
- Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20?No 52% 96.15 shares
- AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 4.5Under 77% 90.91 shares
- Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?No 71.2% 70.26 shares
- Will Neymar play in the World Cup?No 19% 105.26 shares
- Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under 81% 86.42 shares
- Israel military action on Damascus by June 30, 2026?No 75.7% 66.04 shares
- Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to ScoreNo 51% 58.82 shares
- Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5Under 90% 55.56 shares
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-14?Yes 79% 50.63 shares