No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $120.28
- Potential payout
- $137.46
- Potential profit
- $17.18
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Polymarket Trader
usrvillaciud
0x21a51469883e3c59bc8eb4a04b120f9d6d239a18
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $264.86
- Realized PnL
- $206.06
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.2%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $71.94
- Potential profit
- $62.48
- Multiplier
- 7.60x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $55.63
- Potential payout
- $56.16
- Potential profit
- $0.53
- User PnL
- $2.27
Yes position
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $52.63
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.8%
- Current value
- $5.96
- Potential payout
- $33.56
- Potential profit
- $27.6
- Multiplier
- 5.63x
- User PnL
- $0.96
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.87
- Potential profit
- $30.87
- User PnL
- -$24.45
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $25.75
- Potential payout
- $26.59
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $8.88
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $16.76
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $3.88
No position
Will LedgerX self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$19.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.33
- Potential profit
- $21.33
- User PnL
- -$19.2
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.38
- Potential profit
- $20.38
- User PnL
- -$19.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19
- Potential profit
- $19
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.57
- Potential profit
- $16.57
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $16
- User PnL
- -$14.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.65
- Potential profit
- $15.65
- User PnL
- -$14.4
No position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $12.69
- Potential payout
- $15.43
- Potential profit
- $2.74
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $13.83
- Potential payout
- $15.29
- Potential profit
- $1.45
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.77
- Potential profit
- $14.77
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.16
- Potential profit
- $12.16
- User PnL
- -$9.75
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.79
- Potential profit
- $11.79
- User PnL
- -$3.28
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $10.91
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.54
- Potential profit
- $10.54
- User PnL
- -$9.7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.56
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.3
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.77
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.38
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.35
No position
Kash Patel out by April 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.25
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.72
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.55
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.9
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $4.62
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.12
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.42
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.24
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?No 61% 5.08 shares
- Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No 81% 5 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?No 90% 5.06 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Yes 9% 10 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 85.6% 5.16 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.1% 5.13 shares
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 86.1% 5.13 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 99.8% 5 shares
- England-Mexico game rescheduled to different time?No 83% 5 shares
- Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?Yes 23% 5.22 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No 90.5% 5.09 shares
- Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $145B by July 31?No 89% 5.06 shares