Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $19.22K
- Potential payout
- $21.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.5K
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $14.09K
Polymarket Trader
JanusApprentice
0x21c05d98ae75cc7a4798022fe8d0bc6554664827
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $19.28K
- Realized PnL
- $1.02K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $334.7
- Potential profit
- $334.7
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $9.46
- Potential payout
- $236.38
- Potential profit
- $226.92
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$30.54
Yes position
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $115.12
- Potential profit
- $115.12
- User PnL
- -$19.57
No position
Cerebras IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.19
- Potential profit
- $87.19
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $43.23
- Potential payout
- $43.25
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will Strava not IPO by December 31, 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.85
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.15
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $169.87
Yes position
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.65
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52
No position
Stripe IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $49.02
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.31x
- User PnL
- $48.25
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.15
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $47.73
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.03
No position
Anduril IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $42
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.05
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.48
No position
Starmer out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.56
No position
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.09
No position
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.53
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.72
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.46
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.22
No position
Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.15
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.3
No position
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.65
No position
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $16.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?Yes 17% 115.12 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 91% 22.13 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 29% 890.87 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 73% 30 shares
- Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes 17.6% 281.19 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?No 73.7% 253.16 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes 29.8% 3,854.08 shares
- US strike on Colombia by December 31?No 83% 588.24 shares
- Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes 51% 90.9 shares
- Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No 68% 83.33 shares
- Mistral AI IPO before 2027?No 87.4% 353.36 shares
- Stripe IPO before 2027?No 88.4% 281.69 shares