No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $118.42
- Potential payout
- $158.95
- Potential profit
- $40.53
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $33.42
Polymarket Trader
Wadery
0x21c0ba909e0f0d8422985c146fb41455f0562ba7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $147.68
- Realized PnL
- $820.19
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $95.77
- Potential profit
- $95.77
- User PnL
- -$69.3
N
No position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.15
- Potential profit
- $92.15
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.68
- Potential profit
- $49.68
- User PnL
- -$39.74
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.39
- Potential profit
- $49.39
- User PnL
- -$39.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.49
- Potential profit
- $44.49
- User PnL
- -$39.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.25
- Potential profit
- $43.25
- User PnL
- -$29.65
No position
James Comey arrested by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.61
- Potential profit
- $38.61
- User PnL
- -$30
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.43
- Potential profit
- $32.43
- User PnL
- -$19.75
N
No position
Will Trump say "Swamp The Vote" this week?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $28.87
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $3.39
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.2
- Potential profit
- $31.2
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.84
- Potential profit
- $30.84
- User PnL
- -$19.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.93
- Potential profit
- $29.93
- User PnL
- -$9.88
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $28.99
- Potential profit
- $28.59
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$19.61
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.93
- Potential profit
- $28.93
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.2
- Potential profit
- $28.2
- User PnL
- -$9.87
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.04
- Potential profit
- $26.04
- User PnL
- -$19.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.95
- Potential profit
- $25.95
- User PnL
- -$9.86
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.45
- Potential profit
- $25.45
- User PnL
- -$19.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.45
- Potential profit
- $25.45
- User PnL
- -$19.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.14
- Potential profit
- $25.14
- User PnL
- -$19.86
No position
Will Jorge Nieto finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.08
- Potential profit
- $25.08
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.84
- Potential profit
- $24.84
- User PnL
- -$19.88
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.37
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.52
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.42
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.09
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 24?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.05
No position
Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.14
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.12
No position
Will the Senate pass funding bill by October 2?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.11
No position
Will the Government shutdown end by October 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98
No position
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.44
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.44
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.38
No position
Will Trump say "Hottest" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.51
No position
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.05
No position
Will Trump say "Landslide" during "60 Minutes" on November 2?
Ends Nov 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.23
No position
Will Trump sign the Epstein Disclosure Bill on November 20?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.02
No position
Will a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.75
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No 14.3% 69.93 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 55.56 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 94% 11.49 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 98.6% 21.27 shares
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in June 2026?No 56.4% 33.89 shares
- Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in June 2026?No 26.4% 60 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 36% 41.67 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?No 90% 22.22 shares
- Will Trump say "Swamp The Vote" this week?No 93% 21.51 shares
- Will Trump say "Swamp The Vote" this week?No 93% 10.75 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 81% 61.73 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?No 94% 21.28 shares