Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Polymarket Trader
newbiePPOOLL
0x21c0eea8a60f1e185a4c1393cc9d4df5e9f438d9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $216.13
- Realized PnL
- $629.35
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $997.5
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $2.49
- Potential payout
- $553.57
- Potential profit
- $551.08
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.51
Yes position
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.4%
- Current value
- $10.04
- Potential payout
- $187.72
- Potential profit
- $177.68
- Multiplier
- 18.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
Yes position
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.64
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.79
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $1.28
- Potential payout
- $67.33
- Potential profit
- $66.05
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$8.72
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Current value
- $18.01
- Potential payout
- $65.48
- Potential profit
- $47.48
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.3%
- Current value
- $5.39
- Potential payout
- $65.37
- Potential profit
- $59.98
- Multiplier
- 12.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.91
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.9%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $62.02
- Potential profit
- $55.29
- Multiplier
- 9.22x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Y
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $32.15
- Potential payout
- $53.59
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $7.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will USD be between 1.5M and 1.6M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.9%
- Current value
- $32.13
- Potential payout
- $45.32
- Potential profit
- $13.19
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $12.13
Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $38.78
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- $0.22
Y
Yes position
Will Uruguay finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $2.68
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $33.04
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Yes position
Will USD be between 1.6M and 1.7M Iranian rials on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $23.39
- Potential payout
- $35.71
- Potential profit
- $12.32
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $13.39
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $18.25
- Potential payout
- $35.09
- Potential profit
- $16.84
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $1.68
- Potential payout
- $32.54
- Potential profit
- $30.86
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.7%
- Current value
- $6.05
- Potential payout
- $32.43
- Potential profit
- $26.38
- Multiplier
- 5.36x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.6%
- Current value
- $4.69
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $27.56
- Multiplier
- 6.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $4.92
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $27.34
- Multiplier
- 6.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.9%
- Current value
- $4.43
- Potential payout
- $31.95
- Potential profit
- $27.53
- Multiplier
- 7.22x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 52%
- Current value
- $16.21
- Potential payout
- $31.18
- Potential profit
- $14.96
- Multiplier
- 1.92x
- User PnL
- $1.21
Yes position
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $20.43
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $8.14
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $0.43
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.31
Yes position
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81.28
Yes position
Will Kim Sang-wook win the 2026 Ulsan mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $72.33
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.93
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.44
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.45
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.05
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.23
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.42
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.51
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.55
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.26
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.56
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.96
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.82
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.75
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.72
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp 7% 14.29 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 88% 5.68 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 89% 5.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown 53% 9.43 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown 48% 10.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETDown 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETUp 9% 11.11 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 94% 23.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 80% 6.25 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 79% 6.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETDown 72% 4.17 shares