Yes position
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $104.53
- Potential payout
- $16.08K
- Potential profit
- $15.98K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $4.53
Polymarket Trader
0x21C69a157419532d58FcD9a4394bE8489d61Ec98-1777146517484
0x21c69a157419532d58fcd9a4394be8489d61ec98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $471.72
- Realized PnL
- $2.38K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $73.2
- Potential payout
- $2.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.96K
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$26.8
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.7%
- Current value
- $293.57
- Potential payout
- $759.55
- Potential profit
- $465.99
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $193.57
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.93
- Potential profit
- $339.93
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $294.12
- Potential profit
- $294.12
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.42
- Potential payout
- $169.49
- Potential profit
- $169.07
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.58
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.39
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 0.6% 16,080.99 shares
- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 4.9% 2,033.35 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 13.2% 759.55 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 59% 169.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 34% 294.12 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 15% 666.67 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes 0.9% 10,816.29 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 46% 217.39 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 29.4% 339.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes 3.8% 2,660.65 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 99.3% 2,581.67 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 3.9% 2,581.68 shares