No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $3.99K
- Potential payout
- $4.51K
- Potential profit
- $513.8
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $51.22
Polymarket Trader
0x21ca48D0BC6235AD4798c86666631b1587e7d7Ce-1773940686318
0x21ca48d0bc6235ad4798c86666631b1587e7d7ce
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.42K
- Realized PnL
- $3.88K
- Win rate
- 84.6%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 13
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.4%
- Current value
- $297.8
- Potential payout
- $417.08
- Potential profit
- $119.29
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $97.8
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $126
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $74
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $70.25
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Current value
- $3.8
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.2
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $513.94
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.94
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $225
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $156
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $63.04
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.05
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.15
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$10.8
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$197.27
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 87.5% 4,507.01 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 87% 4,203.56 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 95% 300 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 88% 442.99 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 87% 3,126.57 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 86% 634 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.8% 100 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 43% 300 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 27.9% 155.08 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 417.08 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 59% 36 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?Yes 60% 696 shares