Polymarket Trader

Rockbean

0x21d310405ffeb5e0956f8e479dcd5d4533a2fe6f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $302.89
Realized PnL: $261.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $185.04
Potential payout: $397.93
Potential profit: $212.9
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $2.04

No position

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $17.27
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $164.55
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$2.73

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $100.57
Potential payout: $114.94
Potential profit: $14.37
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.57

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $3.45
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49
Potential profit: $1.49
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $175.48

No position

Will Trump visit China by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.33

Yes position

Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.56

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.53

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 2% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET

Down 8% 12.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Down 53% 1.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Up 73% 1.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Up 29% 3.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Down 67% 1.49 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET

Up 61% 1.64 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Up 82% 1.22 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 87% 114.94 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 11% 181.82 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 46% 397.93 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Yes 1.6% 311.78 shares