Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.53
- Potential profit
- $62.53
- User PnL
- -$24.39
Polymarket Trader
CaptainHoook
0x21d56e8490f2ec759bdee28cab14f335fd4b6afc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.34
- Realized PnL
- $137.49
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.67
- Potential profit
- $34.67
- User PnL
- -$14.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- User PnL
- -$0.33
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.1%
- Current value
- $24.02
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $5.97
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $6.33
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $6.34
- Potential payout
- $25.72
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $1.27
- Potential payout
- $22.85
- Potential profit
- $21.58
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$3.89
Yes position
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $20.01
- User PnL
- -$7.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.04
- Potential profit
- $18.04
- User PnL
- -$3.56
No position
Tulsi Gabbard out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.67
- User PnL
- -$3.35
Yes position
Will John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.11
- Potential profit
- $16.11
- User PnL
- -$3.65
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.85
- Potential profit
- $15.85
- User PnL
- -$4.47
Yes position
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $14.71
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.6%
- Current value
- $1.44
- Potential payout
- $14.95
- Potential profit
- $13.51
- Multiplier
- 10.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.83
Y
Yes position
Will Iran finish last in Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $0.63
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $11.88
- Multiplier
- 20.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.89
- Potential profit
- $10.89
- User PnL
- -$3.73
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $1.79
- Potential payout
- $10.83
- Potential profit
- $9.04
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$0.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.1
Yes position
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $0.93
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $7.84
- Multiplier
- 9.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Y
Yes position
Will Rafael Leao join Al-Hilal?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $8.34
- Potential profit
- $8.18
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$0.76
Y
Yes position
Will Jack Grealish join Nottingham Forest?
Ends Sep 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $7.7
- Potential profit
- $7.63
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Rajasthan Royals position
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.14
Bangladesh position
ODI Series Bangladesh vs New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.24
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
No position
Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.9
Yes position
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-24?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.63
Punjab Kings position
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Ends May 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.85
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.03
No position
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $4.09
Yes position
Will Perth Glory FC win on 2026-04-25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.75
Y
Yes position
Will Cape Verde finish second in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 43%
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- $3.42
Yes position
Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 158m and 171m?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
No position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Y
Yes position
Will "Obsession" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 14m?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-26?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41
No position
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Will José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be arrested by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 17% 5.56 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 31.9% 5 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 10.7% 9.1 shares
- Will Bobby Witt Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?Yes 11% 5.55 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 17% 5.27 shares
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 15% 5.56 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 71% 5 shares
- Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?Yes 38% 5 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 39% 5 shares
- Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?Yes 72% 5 shares
- Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 13.6% 14.15 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?Yes 30.5% 5 shares