Polymarket Trader

fredmff

0x21dbd57fe0a01a386fd022a2c742593ae46a10f1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $262.9
Realized PnL: $80.98
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 40.6%
Current value: $15.05
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $21.99
Multiplier: 2.46x
User PnL: $5.05

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $31.48
Potential payout: $37.04
Potential profit: $5.56
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 85.6%
Current value: $31.01
Potential payout: $36.23
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $1.01

No position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.84
Potential profit: $34.84
User PnL: -$25.45

No position

Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 92.9%
Current value: $28.83
Potential payout: $31.05
Potential profit: $2.22
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 93.4%
Current value: $18.65
Potential payout: $19.98
Potential profit: $1.33
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.35

Japan position

Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $17.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $13.75
Potential payout: $15.63
Potential profit: $1.88
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $3.75

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group G?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $14.86
Potential payout: $15.24
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 77.6%
Current value: $9.96
Potential payout: $12.84
Potential profit: $2.88
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 94.1%
Current value: $11.06
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will Danielle Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 81.5%
Current value: $9.55
Potential payout: $11.72
Potential profit: $2.17
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will South Korea be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $11.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $10.22
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.8%
Current value: $9.08
Potential payout: $10.84
Potential profit: $1.76
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.92

No position

Will Rodrigo Pacheco win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 95%
Current value: $10.27
Potential payout: $10.81
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.27

Yes position

Will Selena Gomez attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 91.2%
Current value: $9.76
Potential payout: $10.7
Potential profit: $0.94
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: -$0.24

No position

Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
Current value: $10.58
Potential payout: $10.65
Potential profit: $0.07
User PnL: $0.58

No position

Will Belgium be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10.05
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Chris Wood: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.17
Potential profit: $6.17
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $5.14
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $0.42
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 85.1%
Current value: $4.58
Potential payout: $5.38
Potential profit: $0.8
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Will George Pickens be traded?

Ends Jul 22, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $4.42
Potential payout: $5.26
Potential profit: $0.84
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.58

No position

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group B?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.09
Potential profit: $0.12
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.24

No position

Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.33

Senegal position

Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.93

Yes position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.49

Yes position

Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Yes position

Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.58

No position

Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Jordan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Morocco position

Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.63

Yes position

Scott McTominay: 1+ shots

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

No position

Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

No position

Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Curaçao finish last in Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

No position

Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.36

Yes position

Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

Yes position

Will Bosnia & Herzegovina be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25

No position

Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group G?

No 97.6% 5.12 shares
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group B?

No 98.3% 5.09 shares
Will Switzerland reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 93% 5.38 shares
Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?

No 93.4% 5.35 shares
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Erling Haaland: 1+ shots

Yes 95% 5.26 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 6.5 Total Corners

Over 84% 5.95 shares
Will Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?

Yes 53% 48.07 shares
Will Neymar score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 95.8% 10.44 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 88.4% 11.36 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance

Belgium 88% 11.36 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

No 65% 8.33 shares