Polymarket Trader

sirkemu

0x21de60ac69fdbd1c1236adb7817fce26c74e217b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.5
Realized PnL: $885.01
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $29.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $970.5
Multiplier: 33.90x
User PnL: $0.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $191.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.06

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.07

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.37

Yes position

Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.52

Yes position

Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $17.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.7

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.82

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Yes 2.9% 1,000 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 30% 100 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 25% 8 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 27% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Down 41% 11.16 shares
Will Trump post "Stupid" this week on Truth Social?

Yes 9% 11.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 59% 7.97 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 61% 6.19 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET

Down 65% 14.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET

Down 7% 12.37 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 26% 11.54 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET

Up 25% 14.27 shares