Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.4K
- Potential profit
- $30.4K
- User PnL
- -$988.75
Polymarket Trader
0x21F701A6d8febFd948F899114f2B9D9a8ef7e19F-1760280914378
0x21f701a6d8febfd948f899114f2b9d9a8ef7e19f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.55K
- Realized PnL
- $13.74K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.81K
- Potential profit
- $20.81K
- User PnL
- -$228.44
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $17.5K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $65.32
- Potential payout
- $11.88K
- Potential profit
- $11.81K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$528.5
N
No position
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.94K
- Potential profit
- $8.94K
- User PnL
- -$12.91
Yes position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.6K
- User PnL
- -$767.88
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.61K
- Potential profit
- $5.61K
- User PnL
- -$199.3
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$3.19K
Yes position
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.36K
- Potential profit
- $4.36K
- User PnL
- -$147.84
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $1.26K
- Potential payout
- $2.2K
- Potential profit
- $932.91
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $609.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$320
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $63
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.94K
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$56.95
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$449.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.3K
- User PnL
- -$117
Yes position
Weed rescheduled by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $11.97
- Potential payout
- $1.14K
- Potential profit
- $1.13K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$113.41
Yes position
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Current value
- $145.47
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $872.52
- Multiplier
- 7.00x
- User PnL
- -$37.16
Yes position
Will Solana reach $100 on May 6?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$130
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.93
- Potential profit
- $999.93
- User PnL
- -$508.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9AM ET
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.93
- Potential profit
- $999.93
- User PnL
- -$6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $817.8
- Potential profit
- $817.8
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.79K
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.14K
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $567.95
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $526.7
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $469.28
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $458.28
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $388.06
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.61
Yes position
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $292.84
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $282
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.99
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.86
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $119.89
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $115.81
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.21
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.98
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $61.92
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.23
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.07
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.86
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 18% 600 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 34% 1,430 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 26% 3,200 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 45% 144.85 shares
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 6% 1,751.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 25% 3,400 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 20.9% 800 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes 0.2% 5,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes 0.1% 442.12 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes 0.1% 301.61 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes 0.1% 5,000 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?Yes 0.1% 10,000 shares