Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $265.63
- Potential payout
- $19.68K
- Potential profit
- $19.41K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$295.95
Polymarket Trader
Green
0x220abcb8bf9ff3a4e3d8769cb4ffd735d907923b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $940.83
- Realized PnL
- $62.05K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.07K
- Potential profit
- $5.07K
- User PnL
- -$15.2
No position
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $584.59
- Potential profit
- $584.59
- User PnL
- -$4.09
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $314.99
- Potential payout
- $344.25
- Potential profit
- $29.26
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $108.44
Yes position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.7%
- Current value
- $148.91
- Potential payout
- $189.33
- Potential profit
- $40.42
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $142.85
Yes position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $175
- Potential profit
- $171.06
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$5.86
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $109.16
- Potential payout
- $124.75
- Potential profit
- $15.59
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $32.01
No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $53
- Potential profit
- $0.5
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $45.7
- Potential payout
- $46
- Potential profit
- $0.3
- User PnL
- $1.59
Yes position
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $1.55
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.13K
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.76K
Yes position
Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
Ends Dec 8, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84K
No position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.26K
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.71K
Yes position
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.16K
Broncos position
Chiefs vs. Broncos
Ends Jan 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $874
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $763.94
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.85
Yes position
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 105-154
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $493.25
Yes position
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.43
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $278.64
No position
Will a Republican win Iowa Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.38
Yes position
Trump flips Kamala on Nate Silver's Bulletin?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will someone else win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $177.34
Harris position
Who will Nate Silver predict to win the election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $168.48
Yes position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $151.09
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.61
No position
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.11
Yes position
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $123.42
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $118.63
Yes position
Will Beyoncé perform at the DNC?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $108.49
Yes position
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% Friday?
Ends Sep 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.31
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 60% 179.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 60% 14.91 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 60% 149.76 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 62% 105 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 18% 200 shares
- Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 0.5% 1.55 shares
- Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 3.2% 189.33 shares
- Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes 19% 200 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 97.4% 1,709.52 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.7% 600 shares
- Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?No 0.7% 584.59 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 2.8% 143 shares