No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.5%
- Current value
- $10.1
- Potential payout
- $15.19
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Polymarket Trader
0x220cD4D03a8ba7176669192B7eA1799291195888-1774671884911
0x220cd4d03a8ba7176669192b7ea1799291195888
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $10.1
- Realized PnL
- $36.53
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.9% and 1.2%?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.28
- Potential profit
- $11.28
- User PnL
- -$10.14
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $10.75
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.48
- Potential profit
- $10.48
- User PnL
- -$9.07
Yes position
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.11
- Potential profit
- $10.11
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.35
- Potential profit
- $8.35
- User PnL
- -$7.35
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.12
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- User PnL
- -$5.41
No position
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.03
- Potential profit
- $6.03
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- User PnL
- -$5.07
Yes position
Will Mark Smith be the Republican Nominee for SC-01?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $5.26
- User PnL
- -$4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 13-April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.97
Yes position
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 17, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
No position
Will Doug Turner win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will Billy Webster win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 18-May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of July 6 above $125?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06
No position
Will UK GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.9%?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.04
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?No 67% 15.19 shares
- Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of July 6 above $125?Yes 89.6% 10.19 shares
- Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Yes 97.9% 9.32 shares
- Will 150 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 29-July 5?Yes 93% 9.32 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 76% 7.12 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 79.7% 6.27 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 88% 8.35 shares
- Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary election?No 98.2% 7.52 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?No 73.6% 2.39 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No 93% 5.38 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 93.1% 7.6 shares