Yes position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.75
- Potential profit
- $218.75
- User PnL
- -$70
Polymarket Trader
yhtgfbdg
@_9czapek
0x220f48ea3193d9d150347d1b2230d807197f44b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $90.31
- Realized PnL
- $33.17
- Win rate
- 91.3%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Cardano ETF in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.64
- Potential profit
- $119.64
- User PnL
- -$77.42
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $28.96
- Potential payout
- $60.98
- Potential profit
- $32.01
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$21.04
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $36.43
- Potential payout
- $38.96
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $6.43
No position
Litecoin ETF approved in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.96
- Potential profit
- $24.96
- User PnL
- -$5.95
No position
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $19.05
- Potential payout
- $19.05
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $11.05
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $5.07
- Potential payout
- $14.71
- Potential profit
- $9.63
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $0.8
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.2
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Litecoin ETF approved by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.97
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.8%
- Multiplier
- 5.06x
- User PnL
- $12.72
No position
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.89
No position
Was Trump hacked?
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.99
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Will George W. Bush attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.81
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
Ends Jun 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Bitcoin above $105,000 on February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
Yes position
Will Zoran Milanović be the next President of Croatia?
Ends Dec 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Biden pardon SBF?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Xi Jinping attend presidential inauguration?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?No 42% 19.05 shares
- Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes 68% 14.71 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?No 77% 38.96 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?No 82% 60.98 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes 99.4% 99.6 shares
- No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes 99.1% 23.19 shares
- Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?No 95.2% 2.47 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes 83% 2.35 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 95.2% 2.05 shares
- Cardano ETF in 2025?Yes 64.7% 119.64 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes 98% 77.42 shares
- Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No 99.6% 76.2 shares