Polymarket Trader

thismachinekillsfakenews

0x2217cc499b30d3d19d7684607b3e81efea748689

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.19
Realized PnL: $820.48
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Ends Aug 18, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $15.83
Potential payout: $351.88
Potential profit: $336.04
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$12.32

Yes position

Will the fight end in a draw?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $238.1
Potential profit: $238.1
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Islam Makhachev win by KO or TKO?

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.58
Potential profit: $190.58
User PnL: -$22.87

Yes position

Boxing: Will Canelo vs. Crawford end in a Draw?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $122.63
Potential profit: $122.63
User PnL: -$9.81

Yes position

UFC 319: Will Du Plessis vs. Chimaev end in a draw?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $74.88
Potential profit: $74.88
User PnL: -$11.98

Sandhagen position

Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagen

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.91
Potential profit: $73.91
User PnL: -$17

Muhammad position

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.72
Potential profit: $72.72
User PnL: -$19.99

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.8
Potential profit: $54.8
User PnL: -$8.22

Yes position

UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.22
Potential profit: $47.22
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $15.35
Potential payout: $46.52
Potential profit: $31.17
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$9.65

Florida State position

Miami vs. Florida State

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.75
Potential profit: $38.75
User PnL: -$15.5

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by KO/TKO/DQ?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.33
Potential profit: $33.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

UFC 319: Will Du Plessis win by decision?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.08
Potential profit: $23.08
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.93

Yes position

Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.19

Du Plessis position

Du Plessis vs. Strickland

Ends Feb 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64.64

Chiefs position

Bills vs. Chiefs

Ends Feb 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.28

Yes position

UFC 319: Will Chimaev win by decision?

Ends Aug 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.39

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.11

Ankalaev position

Pereira vs. Ankalaev

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

Yes position

Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.46

Shevchenko position

Shevchenko vs. Fiorot

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.17

Imavov position

Adesanya vs. Imavov

Ends Feb 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.82

Joshua Van position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.5

Oliveira position

Oliveira vs. Gamrot

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.64

Yes position

Boxing: Will Terence Crawford win by Points or Decision?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.04

Yes position

Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.02

Yes position

Fight to Go the Distance?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.03

Yes position

Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?

Ends Jul 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.75

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.98

Lewis position

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira

Ends Jul 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.52

Van position

UFC 317: Royval vs. Van

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.66

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.75

Talbott position

UFC 317: Talbott vs. Lima

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.49

Over position

O/U 3.5 Rounds

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.22

Yes position

Will Trump say 'Gulf of America' during the 2025 State of the Union?

Ends Mar 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.67

Yes position

Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.23

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Justin Gaethje 21% 47.62 shares
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ciryl Gane 51% 49.02 shares
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Yes 8% 351.88 shares
Will Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?

Yes 12% 33.33 shares
O/U 3.5 Rounds

Over 45% 22.22 shares
Fight to Go the Distance?

Yes 29% 31.03 shares
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Joshua Van 40% 52.5 shares
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 18.9% 123.4 shares
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?

Yes 32.4% 123.4 shares
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?

Yes 53.7% 46.52 shares
Will Anthony Joshua win by decision or technical decision?

Yes 16% 74.88 shares
Will the fight be ruled a No Contest or end in any other result?

Yes 2.2% 227.27 shares