No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.32K
- Potential profit
- $10.32K
- User PnL
- -$230
Polymarket Trader
trader82134
0x22205e90fe0c72e6641b895160d82b23c8625db4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.67K
- Realized PnL
- $5.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $233.96
- Potential payout
- $3.12K
- Potential profit
- $2.89K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$734.95
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.7K
- Potential profit
- $2.7K
- User PnL
- -$238.2
No position
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.45K
- Potential profit
- $1.45K
- User PnL
- -$101.5
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $41.89
- Potential payout
- $1.37K
- Potential profit
- $1.33K
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$323.93
Under position
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.34K
- Potential profit
- $1.34K
- User PnL
- -$243.86
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $17.55
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$177.45
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.01K
- Potential profit
- $1.01K
- User PnL
- -$314.81
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.8%
- Current value
- $27.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $972.5
- Multiplier
- 36.36x
- User PnL
- -$252.45
Yes position
Cuban regime falls in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $180
- Potential payout
- $999.98
- Potential profit
- $819.99
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $916.37
- Potential profit
- $916.37
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $229.5
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $670.5
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$81.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $56.63
- Potential payout
- $871.24
- Potential profit
- $814.61
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$218.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $830
- Potential profit
- $830
- User PnL
- -$53.08
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $284
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $516
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $8
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.6%
- Current value
- $249.19
- Potential payout
- $720.41
- Potential profit
- $471.22
- Multiplier
- 2.89x
- User PnL
- $49.19
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $689.66
- Potential profit
- $689.66
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $16.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $483.25
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- -$78.25
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $335
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $165
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $463.2
- Potential profit
- $463.2
- User PnL
- -$340
Yes position
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $424.75
- Potential profit
- $424.75
- User PnL
- -$97.64
No position
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$190
Yes position
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-04-23?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $340.48
- Potential profit
- $340.48
- User PnL
- -$197.48
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24K
No position
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $421.48
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $348
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $340.88
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $286.92
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $268.88
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $219.51
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $167.53
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $164
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.9
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $155.71
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.62
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.57
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.73
Yes position
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $123.09
Yes position
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.99
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116
Under position
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.33
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $107.82
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $103.27
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101
No position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 36.6% 372.1 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes 30% 318.17 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?Yes 45% 75 shares
- Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?Yes 29.9% 1,669.5 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 47.1% 871.23 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 39.8% 676.84 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 48% 400 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?Yes 14.5% 473.46 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 24% 900 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?Yes 21% 212.7 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 25% 400 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 36% 400 shares