Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$80
Polymarket Trader
0x222483965F5799373CF65953919Ee110285523E1-1761204514688
0x222483965f5799373cf65953919ee110285523e1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.54K
- Realized PnL
- $2.97K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.88K
- Potential profit
- $5.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.91K
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.29K
- Potential profit
- $5.29K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.16K
- Potential profit
- $4.16K
- User PnL
- -$20.78
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.4K
- Potential profit
- $3.4K
- User PnL
- -$340
Yes position
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.82K
- Potential profit
- $2.82K
- User PnL
- -$203.72
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$12
Yes position
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $87.22
- Potential payout
- $1.92K
- Potential profit
- $1.83K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- $18.22
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.6K
- Potential profit
- $1.6K
- User PnL
- -$222
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $1.28K
- Potential payout
- $1.55K
- Potential profit
- $270.73
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $146.12
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 20?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$3.55
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.21K
- Potential profit
- $1.21K
- User PnL
- -$4.83
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.06K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- User PnL
- $51.6
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos be released on June 10?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.02K
- Potential profit
- $1.02K
- User PnL
- -$296.16
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$17
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 10, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$270
Yes position
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by November 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $354
- Potential profit
- $354
- User PnL
- -$2.28
Yes position
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $299.99
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $115.03
- Potential payout
- $193.33
- Potential profit
- $78.3
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $18.55
No position
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.66
- Potential profit
- $136.66
- User PnL
- -$20.5
No position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $130.29
- Potential profit
- $130.29
- User PnL
- -$26.97
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$77
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $824.6
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.93
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.99
No position
Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.8
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $163.6
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 21?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $139.99
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91.99
Yes position
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.71
No position
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.71
No position
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $72.1
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.87
No position
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.6
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.06
No position
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.71
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.95
No position
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No 94.6% 1,064 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 74% 100 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 50% 56 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 71.6% 10.54 shares
- Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 49.9% 137.33 shares
- Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?No 49.2% 89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 73% 236.47 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?No 99% 213.35 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 64% 40 shares
- Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes 87% 50 shares
- Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes 86% 40 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 92% 100 shares